Title:

OS26-10 Exploring Non-Communicable Disease Risk Factors on Cancer Rates in Central Java Using Random Forest and SHAP

Publication: ICAROB2025
Volume: 30
Pages: 767-771
ISSN: 2188-7829
DOI: 10.5954/ICAROB.2025.OS26-10
Author(s): Novi Ramadani, Andi Prademon Yunus
Publication Date: February 13, 2025
Keywords: Non-communicable diseases, Chronic respiratory diseases, Decision tree, Geo-mapping
Abstract: Non-communicable diseases (NCDs), including cancer, account for over 75% of global deaths, with cancer being the second leading cause. In Indonesia, cancer ranks third, and Central Java has a high prevalence of 1.7 per 1,000 population in 2023. This study analyzed cancer incidence in Central Java using a Random Forest model combined with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to assess local feature importance. Key risk factors identified include the presence of sugar-sweetened beverage outlets, which affect 28.6% of districts, air pollution from SO₂ and NO₂, which impacts 22.9% and 11.4% of districts, respectively, and the presence of slum areas, which is associated with higher cancer risks in 8.6% of districts. These findings offer insights into targeted public health strategies aimed at reducing cancer incidence and improving community health.
PDF File: https://alife-robotics.co.jp/members2025/icarob/data/html/data/OS/OS26/OS26-10.pdf
Copyright: © The authors.
This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits non-commercial use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
See for details: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/

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